Book Review: Decisive by Chip and Dan Heath

  1. narrow framing (not thinking about enough options)
  2. confirmation bias in gathering information
  3. overweighting short-term emotions (such as discomfort or fear); and
  4. overconfidence.
  1. Think of one more option
  2. Call one expert to get a sense of the relevant base rate/reference class
  3. Consider your core values
  4. Think of a good and bad scenario for how it could turn out, and prepare for each.

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Ian David Moss

Ian David Moss

Smarter decisions for a better world